09/27/2008 - Austin, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Colt McCoy threw for three touchdowns and ran for two more as seventh-ranked Texas crushed Arkansas, 52-10, at Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
McCoy went 17-for-19 for 185 yards and added 84 yards on the ground on nine carries for the Longhorns (4-0), who have outscored their first four opponents, 198-43. Jordan Shipley had eight catches for 83 yards and two scores in the win.
"I'm proud of our guys, they did not worry about the game being moved, which was an inconvenience for both teams," said Texas head coach Mack Brown. "I thought both teams played hard and played well. We wanted to be physical in the ball game, and without studying the film, we felt like we were physical. We were able to run the ball and Colt continues to play as well as any quarterback in the country."
Casey Dick went 7-for-13 with 138 yards while London Crawford had three catches for 51 yards for the Razorbacks (2-2), who have dropped their past two games while being outscored 101-24 in those games after opening the season with consecutive wins.
"Texas beat us in every way," said Arkansas head coach Bobby Petrino. "Physically, they were a little stronger than we were, definitely. They out- executed us. We couldn't get anything going offensively, and when we did, we missed the field goal and couldn't get the ball in the end zone. Defensively, we had a heck of a time getting off the field. We have to give a lot of credit to their football team. They have a very good football team."
This game was originally slated for September 13, but the contest had to be postponed because of Hurricane Ike.
The Longhorns took a 3-0 lead on their first possession of the game. The team had the ball at the Arkansas 40, but were only able to move it 23 yards and Hunter Lawrence stepped in to hit a 34-yard field goal less than four minutes in.
Arkansas got into scoring position on its next drive, but Alex Tejada's 44- yard field goal attempt went wide right.
Texas extended its lead on the ensuing drive. A methodical 11-play, 73-yard drive that took 5:28 was capped on a eight-yard touchdown pass from McCoy to Shipley for a 10-0 lead with 4:28 left in the first.
After a three-and-out from the Razorbacks, the Longhorns used a drive that spanned the first and second quarters and made it a 17-0 game on Cody Johnson's one-yard touchdown run less than a minute into the second.
Arkansas got on the board on its next touch, as the team marched 72 yards down to the Texas 13, settling for a 30-yard field goal from Shay Haddock to make it a 17-3 game.
Texas got a 32-yard kickoff return from Quan Cosby to start its next possession and, four plays later, McCoy ran the ball down the left sideline and got into the end zone on a 35-yard score for a 24-3 lead with a bit over eight minutes left in the first half.
The Longhorns weren't done scoring in the first half, though. With the Razorbacks holding the ball at their own 26, Dick fumbled the ball as he was sacked and Texas recovered at the Razorbacks 20-yard line. Five plays later, McCoy took the ball into the end zone from five yards out on a quarterback sneak to make it a 31-3 game going into the locker room.
Texas continued to pour it on in the second half as the team started the final 30 minutes with the ball. The team needed just eight plays and a little over three minutes to take a 38-3 lead as McCoy hit Cosby near the goalline and he stretched it in for a 13-yard score.
After holding Arkansas to a three-and-out, the Longhorns again took the ball into the end zone. On 3rd-and-5 at the Arkansas six-yard line, McCoy found Shipley in the right corner of the end zone for a 45-3 lead
Texas' defense got in on the scoring in the fourth quarter as Aaron Williams returned an interception 81 yards untouched into the end zone with 9:31 to play for a 52-3 lead.
The Razorbacks got their only touchdown of the game late in the fourth quarter, and it came from their defense. With Texas holding the ball deep in Arkansas territory, John Chiles fumbled the ball and it was recovered by Antwain Robinson, who rumbled into the end zone from 80 yards out to make it a 52-10 game with 2:20 to play.
Game Notes
It was Williams' first career interception...Arkansas managed just 191 yards of offense, including just 11 yards on the ground while Texas managed 421 total yards...Johnson finished the game with 43 yards on nine carries...Texas leads the all-time series, 56-21...Three of the Longhorns wins have come by the score of 52-10.
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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